King County: Week of May 26, 2026
- King County median home price at $859,000 — down 5.3% year-over-year as rising inventory shifts leverage toward buyers.
- Active listings surged +31% year-over-year in Seattle; months of supply now at 2.6 months, the most available inventory since 2019.
- Days on market hit 12 days countywide — nearly double last year's 7-day pace. Well-priced, move-in-ready homes still move fast.
- 30-year fixed rate climbed to 6.65% this week, its highest since August 2025, tightening affordability for move-up buyers.
- The Fed held rates at 3.50–3.75% with no cuts on the near horizon — strong jobs data and above-target inflation keep policy restrictive.
- Eastside cooling: Bellevue DOM hit 33 days (up from 20); Sammamish median fell 12.7% YoY to .46M amid tech-sector caution.
- Renton remains the county's value play at 63K median with relatively brisk turnover — strong demand from first-time and move-up buyers.
01 Market Overview
King County is shifting from the frenzied seller's market of recent years toward more balanced conditions. Inventory is rising faster than demand, giving buyers breathing room and negotiating power they haven't had since pre-pandemic. Sales Activity Intensity — the share of listings going pending in the first 30 days — fell to 43.3%, down from 47.2% a year ago.
Price reductions are becoming more common, particularly above M. The market is not distressed — 2.6 months of supply is still technically a seller's market — but the direction is clear, and buyers should move with confidence.
02 City Spotlight
| City | Median Price | YoY Change | Days on Market | DOM vs. Last Yr | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | ~$880K | +0.6% | 12 days | ↑ from 7 | → Stable |
| Bellevue | $1,490,000 | — | 33 days | ↑ from 20 | ↓ Cooling |
| Redmond | $989,000 | — | 31 days | ↑ from 23 | ↓ Cooling |
| Kirkland | $1,252,590 | — | ~28 days | ↑ vs. last yr | ↓ Cooling |
| Renton | $763,206 | — | ~15 days | ↑ vs. last yr | → Stable |
| Sammamish | $1,461,158 | ▼ 12.7% | ~35 days | ↑ sharply | ↓ Declining |
| Bothell | ~$850K | — | ~18 days | ↑ vs. last yr | → Stable |
Sources: Redfin, Zillow, Movoto (April–May 2026). DOM marked ~ are interpolated from county trend data where city-level figures were unavailable.
03 Neighborhood Map — Movers & Shakers
Click any marker for neighborhood details. Circle size reflects relative median price.
04 Mortgage Rate Tracker
Mortgage rates climbed sharply this week — the 30-year fixed hit its highest point since August 2025, up from 6.36% just two weeks ago. For a King County buyer at the $859K median with 20% down, the move from 6.36% to 6.65% adds roughly 45/month in payments.
A household now needs approximately $200K+ in annual income to comfortably afford the county median at today's rates. ARMs have grown more popular as buyers seek any edge, but the spread between ARM and fixed rates remains narrow relative to historical norms.
05 Economic Factors
Federal Reserve: The Fed kept its benchmark rate at 3.50–3.75% in May — unchanged since December 2025. Chair Powell signaled no urgency to cut: inflation remains above the 2% target and the labor market, while moderating, is still firm. Markets have pushed back rate-cut expectations to late 2026 at the earliest.
Local impact: King County's high-price market is acutely sensitive to rate movements. Tech-sector caution from major Eastside employers — Amazon, Microsoft — has further softened buyer confidence in the M+ segment, more than national data alone would suggest.
Outlook: National home prices are projected to grow just 2–3% in 2026–2027 — a sharp cooldown from recent years. Low inventory still prevents outright price declines at the county level, but selective softness in premium submarkets will likely persist through year-end.
06 Weekly Outlook
Summer 2026 is arriving with more opportunity for buyers than King County has seen in years. With inventory up 31% and mortgage rates near nine-month highs, the pressure that defined this market through most of this decade has measurably eased. Expect continued softness at the high end — especially Sammamish, Bellevue, and Kirkland — while entry-level and mid-range homes in Renton, Bothell, and South Seattle remain competitive.
For buyers, this is arguably the best positioning window since 2019. More choices, longer timelines, and a growing willingness among sellers to cover closing costs or offer rate buy-downs. For sellers, the market still rewards homes that are well-priced and move-in ready — but the era of selling above list with minimal prep is largely over for now.
The key variable to watch: any Fed signal that rate cuts are coming sooner than expected could reignite demand quickly. Conversely, another leg up toward 7% would further suppress activity and pressure prices. For now, the market sits in a measured, functional holding pattern — and well-informed buyers are in a strong position to act.
07 Sources
- Redfin — King County, WA Housing Market Trends (May 2026)
- The Madrona Group — Seattle Housing Market May 2026 Update
- Zillow — King County, WA Home Values 2026
- Zillow — Sammamish, WA Home Values 2026
- Caring Real Estate — Bellevue Housing Market Trends 2026
- Movoto — Bellevue, WA Market Trends
- Movoto — Redmond, WA Market Trends
- Mortgage News Daily — 30-Year Fixed Rate (May 25, 2026)
- Freddie Mac PMMS — Weekly Mortgage Survey (May 21, 2026)
- NerdWallet — Current Mortgage Rates (May 24, 2026)
- Yahoo Finance — Mortgage Rates Hit Highest Since August 2025 (May 20, 2026)
- Norada Real Estate — Mortgage Rate Forecast May–July 2026
- U.S. News — Fed Holds Rates Steady: Housing Market Impact
- Norada Real Estate — Seattle Housing Market Trends & Forecast 2026
- FRED / St. Louis Fed — King County Median Listing Price